Will large areas of New England have blackouts in the 2021-2022 winter?
Basic
1
Ṁ25May 2
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Recent reporting (eg. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/12/14/nation/rolling-blackouts-possible-new-england-this-winter-regional-grid-warns/) has suggested that there might be blackouts in New England due to natural gas price spikes and supply chain issues. However, it is also expected to be an unusually mild winter, so gas usage will likely be lower than in past years.
This market will resolve negatively if blackouts occur but only because of physical damage, such as lines that are downed by trees.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
50% chance
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
48% chance
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?
50% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
Will Democrats lose more than 10 seats during the 2022 midterms?
46% chance
Will sports still matter a lot to the average American in 2040?
64% chance
Will Punxsutawney Phil's behavior on Groundhog's Day 2022 correctly predict winter's end?
50% chance
"Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?"
63% chance
Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
62% chance